Behind all the gloom and doom about house prices, there are cold, hard numbers to document what is going on. I took a look at some of those numbers for Delaware county to try and get a more factual handle on house price changes from 2006 through 2010.
This time I did it by school district. I looked at resale prices (not new construction) of a 4 bedroom, 2 full bath, 0-1 half baths, single family house with a basement, garage and central air. Here is what I found out.
Garnet Valley School District:
+ 2006, 70 houses sold, average price of $485,773
+ 2010, 48 houses sold, average price of $458,022
+ Differences, Sales down 31%; average price down 5.8%
Marple Newtown School district:
+ 2006, 42 houses sold, average price of $477,367
+ 2010, 42 houses sold, average price of $412,302
+ Differences, Sales were unchanged; average price down 13.6%
Radnor School District
+ 2006, 47 houses sold, average price of $740,100
+ 2010, 27 houses sold, average price of $568,561
+ Differences, Sales down 43%; average price down 23.2%
Wallingford Swarthmore School district
+ 2006, 32 houses sold, average price of $434,996
+ 2010, 19 houses sold, average price of $405,174
+ Differences, Sales down 41%; average price down 6.9%
Rose Tree Media School District
+ 2006, 48 houses sold, average price of $472,848
+ 2010, 36 houses sold, average price of $440,221
+ Differences, Sales down 25%; average price down 7.0%
So, what does it mean? As usual, like my dad used to say, figures do not lie - but sometimes liars figure. Not trying to lie here, but the trends are more uneven than you might expect.
Some Overall Conclusions:
+ Common belief is that more expensive houses have taken a bigger hit. This is backed up by the price decline in Radnor, -23.2%
+ Sales Volume is down everyplace, again the more expensive Radnor area took the biggest hit at -43%.
+ Although the overall percentage price declines are not in wipe out territory, if your house was worth $500,000 in 2006, even the smallest price decline area was 6-10%. $30,000 to $50,000 feels like a real big hit to your bottom line, especially if you borrowed to the maximum and took out a big home equity line of credit. Unfortunately, that is where a lot of home owners find themselves right now.
Would appreciate your thoughts and comments.
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